VAN method of short-term earthquake prediction shows promise
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Statistical short-term earthquake prediction.
A statistical procedure, derived from a theoretical model of fracture growth, is used to identify a foreshock sequence while it is in progress. As a predictor, the procedure reduces the average uncertainty in the rate of occurrence for a future strong earthquake by a factor of more than 1000 when compared with the Poisson rate of occurrence. About one-third of all main shocks with local magnitu...
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Short-term earthquake prediction, months in advance, is an elusive goal of earth sciences, of great importance for fundamental science and for disaster preparedness. Here, we describe a methodology for short-term prediction named RTP (Reverse Tracing of Precursors). Using this methodology the San Simeon earthquake in Central California (magnitude 6.5, Dec. 22, 2003) and the Tokachi-Oki earthqua...
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Ever since the first fishermen ventured into the sea, tides have been the subject of intense human observation. As a result computational models and ‘tide predicting machines’, mechanical computers for predicting tides have been developed over 100 years ago. In this work we propose a statistical model for short-term prediction of sea levels at high tide in the tide influenced part of the Weser ...
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1 Bao Rong Chang, Dept. of Electrical Engineering, Cheng Shiu Institute of Technology, Kaoshiung, Taiwan [email protected] 2 Shiou Fen Tsai, Dept. of International Trades, Kao Yuan Institute of Technology, Kaoshiung, Taiwan [email protected] Abstract Traditional methods usually encounter the problem in which the predicted results cannot reach a satisfactory need because the overshoot...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union
سال: 1998
ISSN: 0096-3941
DOI: 10.1029/98eo00417